What's
a Housing Bubble (and why do I keep reading about it)?
The popular
media -- radio and television, print media, websites -- provide us
with information, but they always have one eye on another priority:
to gain listeners and viewers, to sell papers and magazines, and to
attract online readers. Unfortunately, the sensational spin sells
better than complex or upbeat stories. That's why, during the past
few years of record-setting new home construction and property value
appreciation, the media has accompanied reports of this market with
"warnings" about a so-called housing bubble destined to burst and to
send the economy into a tailspin.
A
housing bubble, at least on a national scale, is a myth. Housing has
been and remains a locally focused
business, even among builders that operate in several states and
markets. Local economic conditions in each market drive the
production and value of homes in that area.
At the national
level, the median price of a home has increased an average of 5
percent every year even during recessions and periods of sales
decline, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR) who
have been keeping records since 1968. Housing has been and continues
to be a solid investment for homeowners and property owners,
providing a steady return on investment. Because of the predictable
need for future housing, such investment is largely unaffected by
the volatility of the stock market.
The predictable
need for future housing insures that when one segment of the housing
industry (such as new home construction) slows down, opportunity
opens for expansion in another, such as remodeling and home
improvement. Instead of buying new homes, owners stay put and invest
in existing homes. This is the time for owners to accommodate
lifestyle changes or to maintain value by adding rooms, new or
upgraded finishes or better systems for their existing homes.
Although construction of new homes has slowed, dollars are still
being invested in housing.
Current
conditions are a perfect example of this phenomenon. Between 2004
and early 2006, the nation's homebuilders set a record for the
number of new homes built in that time period. Price and property
value appreciation also set new levels. Now the new-home industry is
deliberately scaling back from that level of unsustainable activity
and risk of oversupply.
During
this time, homeowners have the opportunity to boost the value of
their property and take advantage of the recent high levels of
appreciation. In the wake of the record-setting levels of new
construction and housing appreciation is a vast amount of equity in
existing homes. That equity, in turn, can be leveraged by homeowners
into a variety of financial options. Home improvement projects can
serve a number of personal and financial purposes, such as a kitchen
or bathroom makeover that updates style and convenience, or a home
office that meets modern market demand for telecommuting or at-home
businesses.
Without a doubt, a remodeling project beats trying to find
precisely the features desired in another home. Even if such a home
exists, its purchase typically requires selling an existing
home in the current, slower market. Finally, as the new home
industry recovers, existing homes featuring well-executed,
market-savvy remodeling projects will demand top dollar and continue
to be in high-demand. Warm regards,
  Dwight Sailer
& Bryan Soth HighCraft Builders 429 S.
Howes Street Fort Collins, CO 80521 970.472.8100 -
phone
info@highcraft.net www.highcraft.net
c. 2007 All
rights reserved.
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